Goal markets

Discussion in 'Beat the Bookie' started by smokie899, Apr 15, 2019.

Discuss Goal markets in the Beat the Bookie area at TalkCeltic.net.

  1. smokie899 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2008
    Messages:
    3,297
    Likes Received:
    1,815
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    s.brown
    @StPauli1916 been looking at the goal markets all week, I know it's a market you like. Done some stats on the big UK leagues form the start of the season till now. Came up with a bet of 1+ or 2+goals.
    Prices are not great but that reflects the chance of it coming in, so done a we test bet which won. Now that there's a bit of a pot I'm going to try and roll it to see what I can get. Fancy the arsenal game and now that you mentioned it the Atlanta game for 2+ goals. Or might split the pot for 1+ to try and get stake back if 2+ fails
    Won't be doing as many teams as the first bets for they were only 10 and 20
    Over 2.5 is to risky. Any goal bets you fancy stick them up so I can get a butchers.
    Ps I'm not addicted to gambling or looking to become rich of the bookies backs, just hate the * and love getting one over them lol
     
  2. StPauli1916 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2012
    Messages:
    44,183
    Likes Received:
    13,628
    Location:
    People's Republic of North Yorkshire
    Fav Celtic Player:
    Oliver Tebilly
    Fav Celtic Song:
    George and Pop
    Yeah no problem with posting them up Smokie.

    I have been refining my goals strategy recently. What I do with an overs bet is back over 2.5 pregame but also putting something on the 0-0 CS. I will then lay that off during the first half at lower prices bit by bit the longer it stays 0-0.

    I also bet in play. If the game is coming up to half-time at 0-0 and over 1.5 goals odds against. I will back that as well to cover my original bet. If there is only 1 goal in the first 70 odd minutes and over 1.5 goes odds against then I will bet that.

    Hopefully three early goals and I just collect my winnings on over 2.5 without having to bet in play.
     
  3. smokie899 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2008
    Messages:
    3,297
    Likes Received:
    1,815
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    s.brown
    Can't do any of that when ye can't bet online, 365 caught me opening an account in her name the other day. Everything different except her bank details lol.
    Its wrecking me not being able to do the corners bets, so looking for a similar market with similar prices that can be done in the shops.
    I'm sure people have looked at that thread and thought mad man, but every pretend bet was done exactly as I used to do it.
    So would have been a few quid up.
    Anyways like I say I'm not mad:fear:
     
  4. StPauli1916 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2012
    Messages:
    44,183
    Likes Received:
    13,628
    Location:
    People's Republic of North Yorkshire
    Fav Celtic Player:
    Oliver Tebilly
    Fav Celtic Song:
    George and Pop
    Bet 365 is the only bookie I use and that is purely for the 2 up offer. Apart from that I only use the exchanges, Betfair, Betdaq, Smarkets and Matchbook. They get paid whether you win or lose so shouldn't be as interested in whether you win or not.
     
  5. StPauli1916 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2012
    Messages:
    44,183
    Likes Received:
    13,628
    Location:
    People's Republic of North Yorkshire
    Fav Celtic Player:
    Oliver Tebilly
    Fav Celtic Song:
    George and Pop
    Not looking great. Have gone over 1.5 now to cover the original stake.

    Get half my stake back on 0-0, however 1-0 either way is the worst result for me and would be a full loss.
     
  6. smokie899 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2008
    Messages:
    3,297
    Likes Received:
    1,815
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    s.brown
    * * 1-0 and 0-0. 90 games across all top uk leagues and euro cup competitions this week.

    5 were 0-0
    16 had 1+ goals
    28 had 2+ goals
    41 had 3+ goals
     
  7. StPauli1916 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2012
    Messages:
    44,183
    Likes Received:
    13,628
    Location:
    People's Republic of North Yorkshire
    Fav Celtic Player:
    Oliver Tebilly
    Fav Celtic Song:
    George and Pop
    Fancy overs in Swansea v Rotherham today at 8-11.
     
  8. StPauli1916 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2012
    Messages:
    44,183
    Likes Received:
    13,628
    Location:
    People's Republic of North Yorkshire
    Fav Celtic Player:
    Oliver Tebilly
    Fav Celtic Song:
    George and Pop
    Overs and Out before half-time :50:
     
  9. belfastcelt

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2009
    Messages:
    2,314
    Likes Received:
    291
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    larsson - currently tierney
    Fav Celtic Song:
    scotty sinclair
    I mix mine up now for over 2.5 goals or both teams to score.

    I doubled my money today. I had 5 bets all level stakes and all quads.

    This one below touched:

    Birmingham v derby BTS 3/4
    Swansea v Rotherham BTS 4/6
    Burton v Portsmouth BTS 3/4
    St Albans v east Thurrock over 2.5 3/4

    The last one needed an injury time goal. All the sweeter :)

    But I’m happy to put up my selections.

    I have two games I fancy over 2.5 goals tonight:

    Olympique lyon v angers
    Go ahead eagles v jong psv Eindhoven

    13/10 double
     
    StPauli1916 likes this.
  10. StPauli1916 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2012
    Messages:
    44,183
    Likes Received:
    13,628
    Location:
    People's Republic of North Yorkshire
    Fav Celtic Player:
    Oliver Tebilly
    Fav Celtic Song:
    George and Pop
    Mainz v Dusseldorf overs at 4-6. (won)
     
    Last edited: Apr 20, 2019
  11. belfastcelt

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2009
    Messages:
    2,314
    Likes Received:
    291
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    larsson - currently tierney
    Fav Celtic Song:
    scotty sinclair
    Hope some of you guys were on the 13/10 double last night
     
  12. smokie899 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2008
    Messages:
    3,297
    Likes Received:
    1,815
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    s.brown
    Done the same bet as the one that touched last week. The Eagle eyed of you will notice a mistake. Scunthorpe 0-0 was the team that should have been on the 2 bets but cocked it up to get me my stake back :)
    Doing the same bet today as its fun ticking them off lol
    IMG_20190420_120252-684x912.jpg
     
  13. smokie899 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2008
    Messages:
    3,297
    Likes Received:
    1,815
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    s.brown
    Will put scores on them in future. Will make it easier to keep tabs on teams scores, as most of the teams on these bets were on last week's bets.
    IMG_20190420_121527-684x912.jpg
     
  14. smokie899 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2008
    Messages:
    3,297
    Likes Received:
    1,815
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    s.brown
    IMG_20190420_155904-684x912.jpg today's bets. City done the 2+ one early, so stuck a tenner on the others again.
    Mind goals are a bit scacre today
     
  15. StPauli1916 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2012
    Messages:
    44,183
    Likes Received:
    13,628
    Location:
    People's Republic of North Yorkshire
    Fav Celtic Player:
    Oliver Tebilly
    Fav Celtic Song:
    George and Pop
    H Berlin v Hannover overs at 8-13 ( Sunday)
     
  16. smokie899 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2008
    Messages:
    3,297
    Likes Received:
    1,815
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    s.brown
    23 UK games 1 0-0 and I have it in my bet :56:
     
  17. smokie899 Gold Member Gold Member

    Joined:
    Jan 28, 2008
    Messages:
    3,297
    Likes Received:
    1,815
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    s.brown
    Had a wee look and fancy a StPauli one.
    Vallecano v Huesca. The two worst defenses in the league. Both bottom of the table, one 5 points of and the other 7. 6 games left so possibly one has a chance to escape the drop.

    O2.5 goals @8/13

    Nil * nil :56:
     
    Last edited: Apr 20, 2019
  18. belfastcelt

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2009
    Messages:
    2,314
    Likes Received:
    291
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    larsson - currently tierney
    Fav Celtic Song:
    scotty sinclair
    Yeah sometimes the stats look like it will be over 2.5 with both sides averages say 3 goals a game.

    But dig a little deeper and they might lose 3-0 each week. So even though 2 teams with poor defence are up against each other, neither the teams have striker capable of scoring the goals needed
     
  19. belfastcelt

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2009
    Messages:
    2,314
    Likes Received:
    291
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    larsson - currently tierney
    Fav Celtic Song:
    scotty sinclair
    We need to use or research and knowledge as group and beat these b*stards of bookies

    I’ve had good few weeks and I will share my 7 selections I’ve for today.
     
    Last edited: Apr 21, 2019
    StPauli1916 likes this.
  20. belfastcelt

    Joined:
    Jan 15, 2009
    Messages:
    2,314
    Likes Received:
    291
    Location:
    belfast
    Fav Celtic Player:
    larsson - currently tierney
    Fav Celtic Song:
    scotty sinclair
    Singapore - albirex niigata v young lions -10.30am. 8/15

    China - wuhan zall v Shanghai shenhua - 12.35 8/13

    Turkey - basaksehir v rizespor 2pm 1/2

    Sweden - hacken v djurgardens - 2pm 4/6

    England Cardiff v Liverpool -4pm 1/2

    Belgium waasland v mouscron - 7pm 8/15

    USA - dc v New York City - 9pm 8/13
     
    smokie899 likes this.